McCaffrey vs Saquon vs Kamara – Who to Draft 1st?
With the first pick in the 2020 Fantasy Draft, you should select… Well I can’t just give it away that easy. I know, picking between McCaffrey vs Saquon vs Kamara is a really tough decision and you don’t want to mess this up.
Don’t worry! I got you! A lot of people will make a mistake when they have the 1st overall pick. History has shown us that a lot of the time, people who pick the consensus #1 overall player, usually don’t pick that seasons best fantasy player.
Nonetheless, if you have the first pick in your fantasy draft and you are losing sleep on whether or not you should take Saquon or CMC, here is my recommendation. Lets get into it.
(Half PPR scoring format applies)
Is Christian McCaffrey the Best Fantasy Running Back in 2020?
Christian McCaffery absolutely just tore the NFL up last season. He became the third player in NFL history to have at least 1,000 yards rushing and receiving in the same season.
Run CMC displayed his talents in front of everyone in 2019 and probably guided you to the fantasy championship last season.
However, lets look at the other two players that have accomplished the 1,000-1,000 feature and how they followed up the next season.
In 1985, Roger Craig made NFL history. The 49ers running back turned in the first ever 1,000-1,000 season. Craig had 214 carries for 1,050 yards and 92 catches for 1,016 yards in addition to 15 total touchdowns.
Marshall Faulk became the second player to do so in 1999 with 253 carries for 1,381 yards and 87 catches for 1,048 yards. Both had wonderful seasons, but what happened the next year?
Craig only played 15 games compared to the 16 in 1985, yet he had 200 less rushing yards and 400 less receiving yards.
Faulk on the other hand only played 14 games, but was very much on pace to achieve the 1,000-1,000 milestone again. The Rams running back had 253 carries for 1,359 yards and 81 catches for 830 yards in 2000.
He also had 26 total touchdowns which was an NFL record at the time.
In 2019, CMC had 278 carries for 1,387 yards and 116 catches for 1,005 yards in addition to 19 total touchdowns. One common denominator between Faulk and Craig is that they both did not play a full season after their milestone seasons.
Predicting injuries is obviously next to impossible, however that is something to note since we have had this happen before.
Another thing is that both Craig and Faulk had some stability around them. The 49ers did not lose Montana, Rice or Bill Walsh in Craig’s case. Marshall Faulk still had Kurt Warner, Torry Holt, Issac Bruce and even though Dick Vermeil did not return as head coach, Mike Martz was just promoted from OC to head coach.
CMC on the other hand has a new coaching staff, quarterback and differences on the offensive line amidst an offseason where Covid-19 is not allowing teams to have the usual training camp.
Do not expect the Panthers to have much continuity. McCaffery is too talented to not be productive.
However, instead of just saying “he probably won’t have the same production as last season”, these are notes to support that.
Is Saquon Barkley the Best Fantasy Running Back in 2020?
Saquon Barkley has been impressive since his days at Penn State. In his two seasons in the NFL, Barkley is averaging 71 catches a season along with 238 carries and a 4.8 yards per carry average.
In 2018, he made the pro bowl as a rookie. The former second overall pick missed three games in 2019 with an ankle injury but even that was impressive because he was expected to miss 6-8 games.
Saquon is in a class of his own. It is rare to have a back that is as productive as he has been with little talent around him.
The Giants offense has ranked 17th and 23rd in the two seasons Barkley has been with the team. He is able to make things happen because of his skillset.
At any time he can score a touchdown or turn a small gain into a big gain. In fantasy, having a back get the lion share of touches is very essential.
Barkley is averaging over 300 touches a season which is a very good sign. Unfortunately, there is a negative and it happens to hold more weight than usual.
Covid-19 could cost the entirety of the season or at least push it back. Nonetheless, this is so unusual for the players and teams, that one should fully expect some teams to struggle to find their rhythm.
The Giants in particular have a whole new coaching staff which makes it tougher on them opposed to a team who already knows the playbook because the coaches remained the same.
In conclusion, Barkley’s only negative is something he cannot control. Expect a massive year from the Giants’ Superstar.
Is Alvin Kamara the Best Fantasy Running Back in 2020?
Now is the time to be a little mind blown. My highest ranking player that you should take if you have the number 1 pick in your fantasy draft is Alvin Kamara.
Without a doubt in my mind I am 100% confident in telling you not to hesitate on picking Kamara first overall because he will be the top fantasy running back in 2020.
Obviously Kamara is one of the better players in the NFL which does not make this too obnoxious, but I know most people have not thought much past Saquon and CMC.
Kamara will be the number 1 fantasy back in 2020 because of his situation. What I mean is that unlike CMC and Saquon, Kamara does not have to deal with new coaches.
Kamara knows exactly what he is getting into in 2020. He and Drew Brees already have a great chemistry which will make their transition into this season seamless.
There is not a better QB-RB duo in the NFL in regards to making catches out of the backfield. Adding to Kamara’s situation, this is his contract year.
Derrick Henry was in a contract year in 2019 and only led the NFL in rushing and rushing TDs. Michael Thomas was in a contract year in 2019 and only set a record for most receptions in a season.
Kamara was a 3rd round pick which means he has not accumulated money like first round picks such as CMC or Saquon. Expect the Saints star running back to play like he wants to get paid!
Kamara’s skillset is something that almost does not need to be mentioned. The balance he plays with is rare and what makes him so difficult to tackle.
One of the most impressive things about Kamara is his nose for the endzone. First, when close to the goaline, Sean Payton is so creative in the ways he gets Kamara the ball.
Kamara can get a jet sweep, he has specific routes where he is the first read or they can just hand it off to him. He is truly a swiss army knife.
There has never been a game where it was not fun to watch Kamara. In 2020, he will be the number 1 fantasy running back.
In conclusion, having the first pick in the draft is very fun. Do not make it harder than it has to be. Don’t flip a coin or pick a name out of a hat.
Christian McCaffery is an outstanding talent but Saquon is slightly above him. Saquon will be special, but Alvin Kamara will be the top fantasy back in 2020.
On draft night, select Kamara or have him queued up already it doesn’t matter. Once you have selected him, sit back, smile and thank me after you’ve won your championship.